May 24, 2018

Hun Sen Under Mounting Pressures


Hun Sen Under Mounting Pressures

“The official press agency of the Chinese Communist Party on Wednesday published an article that rebukes the government of Prime Minister Hun Sen for failing to deal with political unrest in Cambodia and calls for ‘serious and deep reforms’ in the country over the next five years. The Xinhua News Agency, whose output is tightly controlled by China’s government, notes the discord in Cambodia since the ‘disputed general election’ on July 28 and cites a number of political analysts in the country calling on Mr. Hun Sen to act swiftly ‘to restore his popularity’.”

Reporters Alex Willemyns and Mech Dara, 6 December 2013, The Cambodia Daily

“Respect of human rights and fundamental freedoms is part of the EU’s trade policy and underpins the legal basis of our trade preferences.”

European Commission Vice President (Foreign Affairs) Federica Mogherini, 1 May 2018, The Phnom Penh Post

“The Cambodia Democracy Act of 2018 will push back against the Hun Sen regime’s undermining of democracy and related human rights abuses by applying financial sanctions to the figures who carry out this despicable agenda and codifying the Administration’s existing visa restrictions for these individuals.”

US Congressman Ted Yoho, 15 May 2018, The Phnom Penh Post

According to a CPP inner circle source, Hun Sen is worried sick about three main intertwined issues: China’s support, legitimacy of his new government, and the CPP’s internal uneasiness with his rule.

He doubts if China’s support is set in stone. China has a record of dropping their once-proclaimed and glorified allies like a hot potato for its best interest when necessary. Sihanouk and Pol Pot potatoes immediately come to mind.

The current China’s support is not without any conditions. Besides a laissez-faire control of economic activities in certain logistic parts of Cambodia Hun Sen has given his benefactor, China still expects Hun Sen to lift his game after the CPP 2013 elections disaster. The 2017 commune elections that see the CNRP consolidating its 2013 inroad into the CPP heartland prove to China that Hun Sen has failed in the four preceding years of government. Though Hun Sen now denies outright any political unrests, China may not buy it; he may just become another hot potato.

Hence, how would Hun Sen now convince China of his popularity and being in control? He has not instituted any serious and deep reforms in the past five years as China calls for. How can he, when he has built his power base upon a corrupt status quo? He could now go for a façade of control and popularity – the legitimacy of his next government, which depends on the July elections process and outcomes. He needs a high voter turnout and an absence of sanctions by the West.

However, Hun Sen is likely to fail. The opposition may intensify their call for the elections boycott and double up their lobby effort for the US and EU sanctions. A dedicated EU mission to Phnom Penh next month for a review of their tariff-free imports from Cambodia can only raise Hun Sen’s blood pressure as they link respect of human rights and fundamental freedom to their trade policy. A bill introduced in the US Congress to impose financial sanctions and travel bans could unsettle the nerves of Hun Sen’s significant minions. The upcoming second anniversary of the Kem Ley assassination on 10 July – it is so close to the 29 July elections – can only flare up a popular conviction that Hun Sen is a mastermind.

With such intense pressures hanging over his head, Hun Sen’s actions have also been greeted with great dismay within the CPP, which is emphatically manifested in the 2013 and 2017 elections. Even in metropolitan electorates where live many CPP stalwarts, their votes e.g. in Toul Kouk go to the CNRP in droves. The unexpected losses make Hun Sen so apprehensive that he trusts none besides his family members. He will likely settle the score with those disloyal minions if he ever survives the mounting pressures.

Yet, Hun Sen may not survive, unless he redefines his brand of democracy and human rights, or the opposition’s call for the election boycott and their US and EU lobby efforts are ineffective and fizzle out.

Ung Bun Ang

By the Way

So according to Hun Sen, his brand of true democracy is more advanced than those in the EU and the US. His yardstick for the claim is refreshing. He says their voter turnouts are around 30% and 40% respectively, which is below the Cambodia’s turnout of 69%. If Hun Sen uses the turnout of 86% in the 2017 commune elections, his brand of true democracy will be far more advanced than those two democracies. Who is he trying to kid, if not himself?

Then again, he may just be setting it up for an easier run for himself in the July elections after blocking his only formidable opponent from the elections. If he can manage between 30% and 40%, he will claim his democracy will be as true and good as that of the EU and the US. Pray the EU and the US buy in their review of trade policy and individualised sanctions.

បើយើងប្រៀបធៀបភាគរយនៃការចូលរួមបោះឆ្នោតពីសំណាក់ប្រជាពលរដ្ឋរវាងប្រទេសកម្ពុជា និងសហគមន៍អ៊ឺរ៉ុប និងសហរដ្ឋអាមេរិក គឺអ៊ឺរ៉ុបមានប្រជាពលរដ្ឋទៅបោះឆ្នោតក្នុងរង្វង់ ៣០% ក៏អាចទទួលយកបាន រីឯសហរដ្ឋអាមេរិកគឺមានពលរដ្ឋទៅបោះឆ្នោតតែក្នុងរង្វង់៤០%ប៉ុណ្ណោះ។ ប៉ុន្តែចំពោះកម្ពុជា គឺមានពលរដ្ឋជាង៦៩%ទៅបោះឆ្នោត។ នេះគឺបង្ហាញច្បាស់អំពីការរីកចម្រើននៃលទ្ឋិប្រជាធិបតេយ្យពិតប្រាកដនៅក្នុងប្រទេសយើង មិនដូចការបកស្រាយដោយជនអគតិមួយចំនួនឡើយ។

នាយករដ្ឋមន្ត្រី ហ៊ុន សែន ថ្ងៃ​ទី១៦ ខែ​ឧសភា ឆ្នាំ​២០១៨ ​ ទំព័រ​ហ្វេសប៊ុក ហ៊ុន សែន

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Kim Ea said...

Khmer nation please learn the past lesson Of Norodom Sihanouk who dragged Khmer to embed with communist China and Vietnam . Socialist bloc played game of roulette with norodom Sihanouk until his fall of grace. First the Chinese offered Sihanouk a lot of free gift and most of them was good looking but unreliable and sucking million of cash for china spare parts .like the fabric Factory in Kampong Cham , Paper factory in Chlaung Kraties,Sugar factory in Kampong tram or ply wood factory in Kandal as example most of them lost money instead of helping our economy .Remember the more they gave you free the more you must hep them back. Sihanouk played game with socialist regime and he got lost big .He switched this nation from neutral,independent to a socialist party sympathizer. soon all infrastructure in Khmer was replace by old ( Paint new ) unreliable sent in by China communist, they built new machinery and sent the old one to Khmer as free gift but don;t be fool with China ,you must soent hundred of millions to buy their spare part and million more to hired their mechnic and expert to came and help you, Brcause chinese machinery no Western machanic can fit it .Then this Khmer nation must complete depend on China and Vietnam communistdid the same trick to fool our stupid traitor leader .These communist know that Khmer nation was undeniable in their pocket, they start to meddling by plunged a big sable deep in Khmer political decision first they requesting Sihanouk to allowed their fighters troops to grass and entered in Khmer land to a secret sanctuary camp for refreshing, rest and reload. second step this time was big and heinous crime ,they force Sihanouk to agreed for North Vietnam to freely print Khmer 500 riels bill to buy provision in Khmer market and supplied their fighters troop of hundred thousand stationed in Khmer border land sanctuary.Soon China foreign minister Mr CHOU EN LAY came to visit Cambodia and secretly forced Sihanouk to open Khmer only one sea port of Kampomg Som for Chinese war boat to transferred Million ton of armed and munition to supplied their communist Friend VC troop to fight with US . These secret event deal with communist behind Khmer back was dramatically produced a very bad result . Just few years after these secret deal, Khmer economic collapsed and Khmer people start to stave because the whole Khmer country run out of rice, the rich and high ranking can afford to buy rice with high price but the poor was in a very dire situation ,Did any old Khmer remembered that ? in 1967 Sihanouk got panic because Khmer market have no rice to sell, immediately he went to China and beg rice from Chinese government. Did you know what happen next, the Chinese government agreed to gave Khmer 20 ton of worst quality rice they kept to feed pig in China . Shameful Sihanouk came back ane declared shamelessly that his communist fiend China help Khmer people from death spell . Whole Khmer nation from economy to border incursion and collapse of monetary because of flooding of illegal bill that start the civil war .Communist ideology ruin this nation.These the facts no any reciprocal argument to sustain these facts . Stupidity and idiotic of Khmer leadership including parasite King was root cause of Khmer devastation, despicable and havoc we see it to day. No country and no one gave you a free food and free money for ever. They just lure a blind fish to the net only ,Please remember my word they have no mercy in communist ideology .

Kohtral said...

China pours a lot of good money into Cambodia in hope of seeing a good return on their investments. But Hun Sen’s bad reputation in the world stage makes the Chinese investments go down the drains. Many of their investments are in edifices and infrastructure which they cannot move back to China. It is bad for their business to keep on backing Hun Sen.

Karl [Kalonh] Chuck [ពីស្បែកដល់ឆ្អឹង!] said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Justice said...

Hun Sen dynasty no longer useful for Chinese, so it is time for him to go. Exactly as they did to king dumb Sihanouk dynasty. The end